Showing posts with label negative interest rates. Show all posts
Showing posts with label negative interest rates. Show all posts

Friday, June 05, 2020

Headlines


Trump campaign gets its cue: Go all-in on ‘law and order’

Coronavirus presents a ‘golden opportunity’ to reboot the economy: Prince Charles

Poll: Trump approval 39% ...

Leftists rage at Trump’s church walk: Trump is a ‘fascist’

Boris Johnson pledges to admit 3 million from Hong Kong to UK ...

Coronavirus: Spain aims to resume tourism, Swedish health official says, ‘could have done better’

Apple tracking looted iPhones ...

John Legend, Natalie Portman other celebs sign letter to defund police

Appeals court mulls making Hillary Clinton testify on emails

Trump administration bans Chinese passenger carriers from flying to U.S.

Fed economist floats negative interest rates ...

George W. Bush cheers protests as sign of ‘strength’

Friday, January 24, 2020

Headlines


McConnell makes strategic retreat to keep firm grip on Trump trial

Trump says GDP would be near 4% and the Dow would be soaring if it weren’t for the Fed

Witness swap: Biden for Bolton?

Trump: Northam putting VIrginia ‘in play’ with gun control push

Bloomberg rises to 4th place in new national poll

China says coronavirus deaths rise to 17, heightening global alarm

Paper: Saudi prince hacked Bezos’ phone?

POTUS at Davos: E.U more difficult to do business with than China ...

Poll: Voters still support Trump removal, but support has slipped

Jamie Dimon says his one big worry is negative interest rates

Standoff: American troops block Russian forces from capturing Syrian oil field ...

Leaked intelligence report: 150 French areas ‘held’ by Islamists

Tulsi Gabbard sues Hillary Clinton for defamation

Wednesday, September 25, 2019

Too Much Wealth?


Capitalism works! It works so well that socialism and communism can suck off some of the wealth it creates and it still survives. Where capitalism is left relatively unencumbered, as in the United States and parts of the British Commonwealth, it creates wealth, enormous wealth. For instance here are some of the successes of this economic system:

- A Beverly Hills mountain-top estate is valued at a cool $1 billion

- A deVinci painting recently sold in New York for $453 million (in this case the buyer rumored to be a Saudi prince)

- During the holidays due to large influx of mega-yachts, some are parked at St. Barths as far as a mile out to sea

- Bill and Melinda Gates donated §4.78 billion to charity last year but still were 12th overall in wealth. Jeff Bezos gave away $2 billion, yet was still was the wealthiest man in the world (before his divorce settlement.) Last year Warren Buffet donated $3.6 billion to the Gates Foundation.

- In the 25 years since China adopted capitalism (albeit state-controlled), it has gone from a third-world economy to the number two wealthiest nation.

But, for whatever reason, when wealth bubbles occur, there always seems to be a way to bleed off the excess:

- The Pharaohs built the great pyramids and the Sphinx

-The Catholic Church built the great cathedrals of Europe

- The Chinese Song Dynasty built the Great Wall ... and modern China builds million-person “ghost” cities

- The US multi-billionaires hold gigantic conferences on global warming

Actually the negative interests rates in Europe and Japan nay well be another symptom of too much money sloshing around. In Germany, you can loan the government one million Euros and, in ten years, it will give you back 5 thousand Euros less. Some deal! Perhaps, just perhaps those Democrat candidates advocating a wealth tax are responding to this notion of too much wealth. We’ll see.

Thursday, August 22, 2019

World Economic Growth


The world is gasping for economic growth. Flat or falling populations in much of the developed world has pulled the props out of economic expansion opportunities. This is compounded by a socialism trope that has removed the notion that capitalistic fiscal policies should be used to stimulate things ... like Trump has been effectively using in the US with tax and regulation cuts.

The result of course is that central banks in these countries are being used to try to stimulate their economies ... after all it worked in the US after the financial crisis in 2008-09. This lesson has been followed slavishly until interest rates have gone negative ... even for 30-year German government bonds. Another symptom of this lassitude is in England home buyers can get mortgages wherein only the interest is due monthly. And, in Holland, one can get zero or even negative rate mortgages.

This trend at most of our trading partners ... to ignore fiscal policy and rely on monetary policy for economic growth ... cannot turn out well. Even the US is now being forced to play this monetary stimulus game given that we must compete with the rest of the developed world. American 10-year interest rates have been more than halved in the last year ... yet we are still almost two percentage points above the rest of the big boys.

This pushes up the dollar as other seekers of yield flock to the US ... and a strong dollar hurts our exports ... not that weak economies elsewhere are not also a drag.

The solution: The developed world ... including China ... needs to start focusing on fiscal stimulus and productivity instead of relying on their central banks to hold their economic heads above water. If these Bernanke acolytes don’t change their ways, the world is in for some dark days.