Showing posts with label positive test percentage. Show all posts
Showing posts with label positive test percentage. Show all posts

Sunday, June 21, 2020

COvID Deaths

Social Distancing

Everybody has their favorite measure of what is happening with the progress of COVID-19 in the United States: new cases, percentage testing positive,  new hospitalization, new ICU admissions, new deaths, etc. Since COVID has become a political issue, the measure selected often depends on your political party.

My preferred measure is new deaths ... which it seems should be a lagging indicator ... but, I suspect is now a leading one ... due to the rapid increase in testing, possible mutations in the virus itself or possibly even better therapeutics. Nonetheless, this is my preferred metric ... see: Washington Post Graphic.

These numbers there suggest to me, despite what one reads or sees in the media, the opening up of our economy seems to be moving apace.

We shall see.