Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts
Showing posts with label GDP. Show all posts

Thursday, June 04, 2020

Headlines


Fringe groups point finger back at Trump, Democrats

GDP is now projected to fall nearly 53% in the second quarter, according to Fed gauge

Police chief: I knelt to show black lives matter ...

Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer: Trump ‘cowardly, weak anddangerous’

Episcopal bishop says Trump’s message is ‘antithetical to the teachings of Jesus’

Coronavirus: Tokyo issues stay-home alert, Canada film industry seeks government support

Cops drop to knee before protesters ... Troops gather around DC ...

St. Louis police: 4 officers shot in overnight riots

FoxNews’ Tucker Carlson goes after Trump and Kushner over protests

Civil rights leaders say they’re are ‘disappointed and stunned’ after call with Facebook’s Zuckerberg

Cop shot in the head on Vegas strip ...

Left rips New York Times over front page: ‘Endorsement of fascism’

Friday, May 01, 2020

Headlines


NCAA proposes letting college athletes get paid for endorsements

US GDP shrank 4.8% during the first quarter amid biggest contraction since the financial crisis

U.S. deaths 58,611 ...

Poll: Trump net approval on coronavirus response hits new low

Gilead says remdesivir data shows encouraging signs against coronavirus

Pending home sales shrank nearly 21% in March, but Realtors claim prices will hold up

Medication shortages next crisis ...

Report: FoxNews severs ties with Diamond & Silk

‘Criminal incompetence’: Outrage after de Blasio breaks up crowded Orthodox Jewish funeral

Coronavirus testing chief says ‘no way on Earth’ US can test 5 million a day

Despite McConnell comment, states can’t go bankrupt, only default ...

Iran warns U.S. Navy in the Persian Gulf: Get ready for a ‘hand slap in the face’

Thursday, April 02, 2020

Headlines


Trump demonstrates new point-of-care test

Coronavirus live updates: US coronavirus death toll higher than 9/11 attacks, airlines to consolidate routes

Virginia shut until June ...

CNN debates: No live pandemic pressers for bad orange man

Governor: New Jersey gin stores will be allowed to reopen

Goldman sees 15% jobless rate, 34% GDP decline, followed by fastest recovery in History

Whole Foods employees plan nationwide ‘sick out’ ...

Seattle: 3 homeless shelters closed due to outbreak

Pandemic threatens monster turnout in November

Consumer confidence tumbles in March as coronavirus cases surge

Hertz: China isolated deadly bat viruses at unsecured lab near Wuhan wild food market ...

Union: 2,000 U.S. postal worker in quarantine across U.S..

Monday, March 23, 2020

Headlines


Senate races to finish negotiations on massive stimulus package

Kudlow says coronavirus relief package worth more than $2 trillion

U.S. intelligence reports from January and February warned about likely pandemic ...

Chinese leader lauds [Hillary] Clinton attack on Trump

New York and New Jersey Port Authority seeks $1.9B federal bailout

FDA grants ‘emergency use’ virus test that can deliver results in 45 minutes

Cuomo: Half state’s cases are people under 50 years old ..

The rescue package includes $2,400 check for families, $500 for kids

Poll: 55% approve how Trump is handling coronavirus crisis

Trump: Federal student loan borrowers can suspend payments for 60 days

Trump: ‘I don’t know’ if my businesses will receive coronavirus assistance

Goldman predicts -24% GDP ...

Wednesday, February 26, 2020

Headlines


Sanders sends Democrat establishment into panic mode

Coronavirus live update: WHO calls Iran and Italy ‘deeply concerning,’ Goldman cuts GDP forecast

Harvey guilt of sex crimes ... Straight to jail ... Faces 5 to 29 years ...

Jussie Smollett to be indicted on 6 new charges

Harvey Weinstein found guilty in landmark #MeToo moment

Coronavirus could push mortgage rates past 4-year low

Will Obamas move to stop Bernie? Buffet boosts Bloomberg ...

Poll: Sanders, Bloomberg leapfrog Biden in New York

Global markets fall sharply as virus cases spread past Asia

Bloomberg’s $400 million bet looks headed for a Super Tuesday flop

Trump speaks to 110,000 at raucous India rally ...

Judge Judy vows to ‘fight to the death’ against Bernie Sanders

Friday, February 14, 2020

Trump vs. Obama


Like most things these days, Libs refuse to acknowledge that the booming “Trump economy” exists. Invariably any lauding of Trump’s economic or stock market successes elicits the response that Trump has benefitted from Obama’s head start. Is his true? Has Trump been piggybacking on the Obama recovery? Opinions vary ... but here are the facts:

Dow Jones Industrial Average

Day Obama Elected  —  9323
Day Trump Elected — 17,888

Day Obama Inaugurated  — 7550
Day Trump Inaugurated —  19,827

Today.   29,423


Percentage Increases

Trump Election Day till now — 64.5% (over 3+ years)
Obama Election Day till Trump Election Day — 91.9% (over 8 years)

Clearly, so far Trump is ahead (assuming his recovery continues ... which, given the coronavirus outbreak, may be in jeopardy.) Comparing these stock market records deserves acknowledgement of some contributing and detracting factors:

- Obama benefitted from the Fed injecting $3.7 trillion into the money supply and reducing interest rates to near zero. (monetary stimulus)
- Obama benefitted from $10 trillion of deficit spending (front-end loaded fiscal stimulus)
- Trump has also deficit spent about $3 trillion (much used to rebuild the military)
- Trump has had the Fed reduce the money supply by about $400 billion
- The Fed has increased interest rates by 1.5 percentage points under Trump
- Trumps has increased GDP growth by about one percentage point and reduced unemployment rates by about 1.2 percentage points despite substantial headwinds from his trade wars with China, Canada and Mexico. He has also expanded average worker’s salaries to over 3% annually. and, finally, started the employment participation rate growing again.

We report. you decide.

Afterwards: Interestingly, the DJIA peak under Bush was 14,000 ... right before the Barney Frank induced sub-prime mortgage crisis. Counting from this high, Obama only experienced the stock market expanding by 28.8%.

Sunday, February 09, 2020

Headlines


Appeals Court rejects Democrats’ emoluments suit against Trump

Pence defends deficit spending under Trump as necessary for economic growth

Biden goes missing [in NH] ... Jill speaks to 10 people ...

Report: WH considers removing Vindman

U.S. employers add a strong 225k jobs, unemployment up to 3.6%

Wall Street’s top economist, Ed Hyman, sees 0% GDP growth this quarter in China due to coronavirus

Citizen journalists covering [China virus] outbreak go missing ...

8 Americans confirmed with coronavirus on cruise ship ...

Yang fires dozens of staffers after Iowa debacle

Post-tax cut job gains weren’t quite as great as initially thought

63.4% Labor Force Participation Rate at Trump-era high ...

Revealed: FBI had multiple informants on Trump campaign

Sunday, December 29, 2019

2020 Predictions


- Republicans retake House, expand Senate lead
- Trump re-elected, winning popular vote too
- 10%+ stock market correction in early Spring
- Clapper turns states-evidence in Durham probe
- Durham grand jury indicts 8 from Obama admin.
- Phase 2 China trade deal done in Summer
- GDP growth for year 3%+
- Pelosi never submits Impeachment to Senate
- North Korea doesn’t resume nuke testing
- Democrat ticket: Bloomberg and Yang
- Baltimore wins Super Bowl, Tom Brady retires
- RIP: Jimmy Carter, Ruth Bader Ginsburg, Ted Turner


Yes, I know a lot of these are obvious, but I can’t help myself ...

Sunday, December 22, 2019

Headlines


‘Family Feud’: Trump still grumbling about witness-free impeachment trial

Elizabeth Warren releases $10.7 trillion plan to create 10.6 million green jobs

NOONAN: Crazy won’t beat Trump ...

Iceland’s 30 feet of snow: ‘We’ve never had on this scale’ ...

Democrat legal expert: Trump isn’t impeached until articles go to Senate

Boris Johnson’s Brexit bill passes Commons vote

Boeing Starliner fails key NASA mission as autonomous flight system malfunctions

Apple wants to bypass mobile carriers ... Beam Internet right to your iPhone ...

Federal funding bill gives Democrats $25M for gun violence research

Trump lashes out as Christian magazine calls for his removal

Trump says he had a ‘very good talk with President Xi’ about China trade deal

GDP unrevised at 2.1% ... Record 9,300 stores closed in ‘19 ...

Schumer: Pelosi withholding impeachment articles is a ‘win-win’ for Democrats

Wednesday, December 04, 2019

NATO Spending


President Trump had complained about the fact that the United States was carrying a disproportionate share of 2017 NATO defense spending. (The previously mutually agreed-upon objective was 2% of GDP.) Since then and because of Trump’s carping, these NATO countries have upped their military spending by $130 billion. Wow! I am perplexed why this was not an issue before 2017?

Friday, August 23, 2019

Debt Crisis


I recently wrote a piece on the world’s economy ... see: World Economic Growth ... in which I predicted that the continued stimulus of many countries’ economies through the generosity of their central banks would not work out well. And today I read that China has been propping up its economy with enormous debt ... see: CNBC Article ... with its total debt at 300% of its GDP.

Now, to me it is understandable that China has dug this hole for itself ... after all it’s new to this capitalism thing ... so it has a lesson to learn about debt. But, what about the rest of the world? It is not our first rodeo! Yet, central banks around the free world are encouraging enormous borrowing with effectively zero interest rates ... or below. What can be wrong with this if this stimulates a vibrant economy?  OK maybe “vibrant” is much too strong a word given that Germany is in an economic contraction with negative half-point interest rates.

So then what are the “dark days ahead” of what I have suggested? Well, it seems obvious to me that, if it costs nothing to borrow money, countries, corporations and people are going to borrow money ... lots of money ... money that they cannot possibly pay back.

This eventually spawns a “debt crisis” which will be a banner headline in the few newspapers that are still publishing when this event occurs. How soon will this occur and what will be the consequence? Boy, I have bitten into a big Pennsylvania hoagie on this question! Honestly, I don’t really know, but I suspect a bit of lunch-meat indigestion will be involved. These events, from the little I have gleaned are a social-psychological phenomena ... where lending logic and rational rules go out the window. ... like they did in the sub-prime mortgage crisis of 2008 ... which actually was the genesis of our current predicament. Somehow large amounts of debt gets erased by the courts and by fiat ... and the lenders generally end up the losers. So, be careful lending money ... but borrowing might not be a bad idea.

Many banks around the world will disappear as will some governments I suspect. Maybe the US will be forced back on the gold standard. But, after a great deal of dislocation and pain, things will normalize and we will start lending and borrowing again. Sorry, that’s all I got at the moment. I’ll muse on it some more later.

Sunday, July 28, 2019

Headlines


Dems move closer to impeachment in strategy shakeup

S&P 500, NASDAQ notch another record close after strong earnings from Alphabet, Starbucks

[Q2] GDP: 2.1%

Donald Trump: No tariff wavers for Apple computer parts

Poll: No impeachment bump after Mueller’s testimony

Trump says he ‘might’ put tariffs on French wind in response to digital tax

Mystery: Rep. Omar splits with another husband ... Moves into luxury penthouse ...

Joe Biden: Donald Trump ‘won fair and square’ in 2016

Trump shuts down Navarro over ideas to devalue U.S. dollar

Kudlow: ‘I wouldn’t expect any grand deal on China’

Guatemala signs immigration asylum deal ...

Trump furious with Fox News poll ...

Sunday, July 21, 2019

Headlines


Democrats say White House offer on budget deal has ‘nonstarters’

Fed’s Rosengren is not on board for rate cut: ‘I think we should wait’

Omar vows to be a ‘nightmare’ for Trump ...

Cruz: ‘Only fitting’ Mexican drug lord ‘El Chapo’ pays for border wall

Trump: Sen. Rand Paul to help with Iran negotiations

Week ahead: Both Q2 earnings and GDP expected to show sluggish growth, as investors await rate cut

Ex-Brooklyn man busted as high-ranking ISIS sniper ...

Beto: ‘Don’t be a fu*kstick’ could be my new campaign slogan

Iran says it has seized British oil tanker ... and a second one!

Trump says he will call Swedish PM about locked up rapper A$AP Rocky after call from Kanye West

Sanders campaign workers demand $15 hourly pay ...

Taiwan considers dozens of requests for asylum from Hong Kong protesters

Sunday, March 31, 2019

Headlines


McConnell to Trump: Healthcare’s all yours

Mnuchin says US-China trade talks were ‘constructive’

USA projected to add 1.5 million illegal aliens this year ...

Exclusive — Devin Nunez sending criminal referral to DOJ over Spygate

Trump tests post-Mueller vengeance campaign

Huawei: US has a ‘loser’s attitude’ and is trying to smear the company because it can’t compete

GDP revised down to 2.2% in fourth quarter ...

Comey: ‘Good’ that evidence doesn’t establish Americans conspiring

Watchdog report critiques DEA report Barr approved 27 years ago

London house prices see their biggest drop in 10 years as Brexit fears bite

Smollett nominated for NCAA Image lAwaed ...

S. Korean leader to meet with Trump in US on nuclear diplomacy

Thursday, March 07, 2019

Headlines


Clinton camp stews over Sanders 2020 campaign

Chinese premier: ‘We must be fully prepared for a tough struggle’

Trump and Republicans make ‘socialism’ the bogeyman of 2020, as Democrats bristle

FEC complaint charges Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez’s chief of staff hid $1 million

House Democrats open up sweeping corruption probe into Trump’s world

California agency says ‘clawback’ of federal funds for bullet train ‘would be disasterous’

Atlanta Fed keeps GDP growth view at 0.03% ...

McConnell: Senate to pass resolution blocking emergency declaration

Barr won’t recuse himself from Mueller oversight

Trump scraps India’s preferential trade treatment, while Delhi downplays the impact

Denver coldest early March in 60 years ...

2020: Eric Holder announces he won’t run for president

Saturday, March 02, 2019

Headlines


‘Sometimes you have to walk’: Why Trump bailed on North Korea

Fourth quarter GDP grows at 2.6%, better than expected

D-Day for Netanyahu as he braces for possible indictment

Cummings on Cohen: ‘I believe he told the truth’

Trump’s inner circle sustains collateral damage in Cohen hearing

Pakistani PM says Indian pilot to be released Friday in peace gesture

Trudeau on brink? Scandal rocks ...

Travel ban ends nearly all immigration from terrorist nations

India, Pakistan exchange gunfire

Michael Cohen: ‘I hear’ Trump won’t peacefully give up the White House if he loses in 2020 ...

‘Excited’ Beto says made 2020 decision ...

Lighthizer: There is no ‘soy [bean] solution’ to trade fight

Friday, January 25, 2019

Headlines


Trump exasperated by gaffe-prone Giuliani

Government debt tab hits $66 trillion, 80% of global GDP

Centrist Dems urge Pelosi to break stalemate ...

Pelosi refuses to grant Trump access for state of the Union message

Poll: Shutdown, Russia drive Trump disapproval to all-time high

White House chief economist: We could see 'zero' growth in first quarter ...

USA recognizes Guado as [Venezuela] president

Report: Musk's charitable foundation benefits family and friends

White House going ahead with State of the Union plans

More homes for sale, but fewer are affordable

Michael Cohen delays Congressional testimony ... safety fears ...

Kushner: GOP Senators to offer green cards to illegal aliens

Tuesday, August 28, 2018

Headlines


Atlanta Fed raises GDP forecast to 4.6% ...

Trump's approval  remains stable despite week's political storm: NBC/WSJ poll

2008 NIGHTMARE: Obama beat McCain by a two-to-one electoral college margin ...

... Palin: 'Today we lost an American original' ...

McCain and Trump: A pugilistic relationship to the end

US softens demand for NAFTA 'sunset clause': Mexican official

BOMBSHELL: Pope Francis accused of covering up for an abusive priest ...

Kenesaw State cuts cheerleaders who took knee during anthem

Mueller team shortens estimated length of 2nd Manafort trial

Former president Jimmy Carter lives in a $167,000 house and shops at Dollar General

Lane's rainfall topples records, inundates [Hawaii's] Big Island ...

Left emboldened: Maddow surges in ratings as Resistance takes a victory lap

Sunday, July 29, 2018

Headlines


Cohen says Trump approved Trump Tower meeting with Russians

Second quarter GDP jumps 4.1% for est pace in nearly 4 years

Republicans face toughest election map in 88 years ...

Saudi feminist faces 20 years in prison

Putin invites Trump to Moscow for summit

Facebook's $100 billion-plus rout is the biggest loss in stock market history

[Twitter] Admits to 'shadow banning' Republicans?

Jimmy Kimmel hopes Cohen tapes end Trump's marriage

Judge won't order release of White House visitor logs

El-Eriam: The probability of a Fed rate hike n September is far lower than traders expect

Mattis: [US] Not pursuing [Iran] regime change ...

LOL Pelosi: Democrats are 'strong' on border security

Saturday, July 29, 2017

Headlines


All from Internet news sites. Guess which ones from Politico?

How McCain tanked Obamacare repeal

After vulgar rant, Trump's new comms guy vows never to trust another reporter

Border wall prototype delayed until Winter ...

GDP rises at 2.6% annual pace

Gowdy: More coverage of Bieber tour than Lynch scandal

House Dems call for Kushner to be immediately dismissed

Obama aides unmasked hundreds during election without justification

Gingrich on NPR: Mueller has hired antiTrump killers

After health care failure,Trump tweets 'let Obamacare implode'

Macron aims to clear migrants from the streets of France

Stock market +19% since election ...

Gingrich on Scaramucci: Full of himself, 'talking more than he is thinking'