Wednesday, April 08, 2020

Crossroads


Sometime today will mark a crossroads ... when there should be as many or more total deaths from the coronavirus as there were from the swine flu in 2009 ... around 14,000. But somehow I don’t recall quite the same level of economic dislocation and medical panic back then.

How come? Was it because Obama was president then and not Trump? Beats me! I do find it fascinating how the reaction today is so dramatically different as it was back then. Yes, case loads and deaths will continue to go up under COVID-19 ... to 100,000 or above. But, others are saying that fatalities could be significantly lower. (Just saw one at 60,000.)

And are we going to restart the economy anytime soon? I have predicted that sometime next week we will have a view of the economic road ahead emanating out of the Trump administration ... not that no one will die during this ramp-up. But , like you dear readers, we just hope that it will not include any of us. Stay well!

3 comments:

Bill Miller said...

In the U.S., between April 2009 and April 2010, the CDC estimates there were 60.8 million cases of swine flu, with over 274,000 hospitalizations and nearly 12,500 deaths — that's a mortality rate of about 0.02%. So the deaths in this flu have been much quicker. Swine Flu also affected people of a much younger age than the present Covid19. You really need to do more research on the subject. It's all out there.

George W. Potts said...

I did. Estimated mortalities were between 12,000 and 17,000. I picked a number in between. What did I say that was wrong? I knew it was mostly younger people ... maybe why Obama did not set his hair on fire? (Should we trust the CDC to tell us what day if the week it is?)

George W. Potts said...

Another thought ... your statistics say one in 5 of us got the swine flu in 2009. I don’t recall getting it, do you? Also, interestingly, as many as 60,000 or more people die every year in the US from the seasonal flu (H1N1). This happens to be a modern variant of the Spanish flu of the 1918-1920 pandemic. Interesting ...

Maybe we should close down our country’s economy every year from Oct. to May due to the seasonal flu?