Saturday, October 24, 2020

Covid-19 in Perspective



Are we n a second or third wave of the China plague? Clearly, the number of cases are going back up. But what about deaths? And are COVID-19 deaths being inflated  ... or are they underreported?


I have often thought that the only way to determine which would be to look at historic death trends here in the U.S. ... and then see how these trends have changed since this pandemic was unleashed on us.


To answer this complex question, let’s start by perusing the following: Real Clear Politics Study. Clearly this country has built-in incentives to report inflated Covid deaths.  


The real problem then with discovering how many deaths can be associated with the China virus is that it has occurred in an election year. The political cloud on these disease statistics makes the job of dealing with this pandemic quite a bit more difficult. (Chinese accident? I don’t think so.)


If you want to visualize what the Covid pandemic is doing to the U.S. death rate, please see the graph included in this  CDC Report


Interesting! When viewed in this context, coronavirus doesn’t seem quite so serious ... except, of course, for us old farts.


So IMHO, Trump is right. Covid is a real danger but it shouldn’t control our lives.


STAND UP FOR AMERICA!


3 comments:

  1. I think the number of hospitalizations might be a useful indicator of what is going on. Despite the current surge in positive test results (no doubt impacted by the increased access to testing) Covid Deaths should be diminishing because of improved therapies.
    The fact that many hospitals are at or near capacity suggests a worrisome trend.

    COVID will control our lives whether we believe in it or not. I am staying away from people who engage in risky behavior until it is safe. See you next year.

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  2. Take a look at Covid hospitalizations per state ... interesting!
    “ https://www.beckershospitalreview.com/public-health/number-of-covid-19-hospitalizations-state-by-state-july-15.html”
    Hardly what is being advertised.

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  3. Hmm. Those numbers don't warrant the alarm I'm hearing on the Evening News. I'll investigate further.

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