Thursday, July 23, 2020

Short Note


I recently wrote about how new national coronavirus deaths,  not new cases was the metric to follow how we were progressing against this virus ... see: Scaredy Cats. Now, new deaths are starting to creep up ... primarily because of new cases spikes in Florida, California and Texas are causing new deaths to follow. (Not so much in Arizona.) I think the issue in the Southwest is all driven by what is happening in border leakage from Mexico. But the Florida numbers well might be the result of some number funny business.

Bottom line: Overall new deaths are still the metric to use ... but until new cases in California and Texas level out and decline I have gotten less optimistic and, as President Trump has said, things are likely to get worse before they get better.


STAND UP FOR AMERICA!

12 comments:

  1. Woodrow Roosevelt9:35 AM

    Thinking that Mexico is still problem is a problem with your head. Stop drinking the Kool Aid and you'll feel a lot better. Go democrat or go home. Make sure you have your guns ready when the government invades Natick.

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  2. See: “ https://apnews.com/8031d8bc3bc206d249dc6af8493c48aa”

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  3. I don't see any evidence of Ex pats returnees as the cause for spikes in new cases. I see a lot of photos of unmasked mobs of young folks at pools and bars in those hotspots. One might reasonably suspect careless distancing as a prime cause in these outbreaks. What happened to Occam's razor?

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  4. Do you really expect our lazy media to look into this? If you were a retired ex-pat in Mexico, would you stay there if you think you had contracted Covid? I have heard on talk radio, first-hand accounts of border crossers immediately going to the biggest city hospitals for treatment. One would think hospitals there would have home addresses of their virus patients. No?

    Reporters .... ZZZZZZ!

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  5. See also: “ https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/29/health/border-hospitals-coronavirus/index.html”

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  6. It is estimated that 1 million American ex-pats live in Mexico ... see: “ https://www.expatsinmexico.com/how-many-expats-live-in-mexico/”

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  7. Mexico has 2,808 diagnosed cases per million population ... and real cases could be much, much higher. This suggests that this might be the numvpber of ex-pats infected. Ad to this all the Mexican workers infected fleeing to the U.s for our better hospitals ... these are not trivial numbers.

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  8. Number of tests in Mexico are 0.5% of the U.s per unit of population. This is the reason that cases there are likely much higher than reported.

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  9. The articles you cited attribute the high number of infections in Mexico (and among ex-Pats) due to a lack of social distancing measures. The truth is out there.

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  10. The sun comes up in the morning.

    Am curious how you will disagree with this statement?

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  11. I just checked the Internets: The Sun is at the center of our solar system. Earth rotates every 24 hrs, making it appear that the sun is moving "up".

    Will you concede that close personal contact and refusal to wear masks causes outbreaks in COVID cases and related deaths?

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  12. Actually it takes only 23.9344696 hours for the Earth to complete a rotation. The difference is saved so that Democrats might someday see the light of day.

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