I’m not a pollster pundit, but I do have a few studied thoughts about America’s recent elections:
In 2016, Trump won the presidential election because so many voters could not pull the lever for Hillary Clinton. In 2018, the Republicans lost the House of Representatives due primarily to effective sliming of Republicans with the Mueller investigation into Russian collusion. In 2020, Trump will win or lose based upon what he has done for the American economy, no matter who the Democrat candidate ... and how successful his foreign policy initiatives have been ... no matter how much the media tries to cloud these efforts.
So far Trump is winning on the first count ... and the jury is out on the second one.
Another perspective: Trump has alienated many people who voted for him because they disliked Hillary even more. His bombast, lies, bullying and tweets have undermined any perceived accomplishments. Many who voted in 2016 say they will not vote for him in 2020 (many will stay home and not vote at all) His staunch supporters are far outnumbered by independent and democrats who will show-up big time on election day. He is toast. Period.
ReplyDeleteYes, but he will have Russia helping him ...
ReplyDeleteAbsolutely, Just like last time.
ReplyDeleteOne thing that worries me: I think Trump is getting bored, judging from his latest tweets. He could be dangerous if he looks for a new distraction, like war against Iran or similar adventure.
Unlikely ... he wants to build a Trump Tower in Tehran ...
ReplyDelete