Friday, July 19, 2019

Trump’s Re-election Strategy


“Trump is stupid.” “He is a political numbnuts.” “Any Democrat will wipe the floor with him in 2020.” Perhaps so. But looking behind the curtain, one realizes that there is a method to the orangeman’s madness. Let’s try to understand how Trump is angling to stay in the White House for four more years.

First, what is the second largest voting block? White men represent about 32% of all voters and Trump carried them in 2016 bigly. This should be about the same percentage as all minority groups combined ... see: Pew Research Study. Yes, white women represent a slightly higher percentage of voters than white men but they didn’t vote against Trump in 2016. In fact he won white women by 53% to 47% ... see: The Undefeated.  Yes, many pundits believe that Trump is losing suburban white women’s support. Perhaps so ... but most of this defection would be in states that Trump is unlikely to carry anyway.

Therefore, Trump’s re-election centers oh white voters, particularly white men voters ... a minority that Democrats have ignored in their rapt attention to other minorities. Yes, his opposition senses this strategy and labels it “white supremacy” ... but was the Democrat’s past obsession with African-American voters called “black supremacy?”

Anyhow, Trump’s focusing on middle American white voters does not mean he is ignoring minorities. He constantly refers to how his economic policies have helped them. And his criminal reform efforts and economic development zones are also directed at helping non-whites.

But, to me, his rallies suggest to me that the enthusiasm among his voter base is enough to carry him to an Electoral College victory once again. What is not widely known is that at these oversubscribed rallies, names and contact information are collected to help with the Republican’s get-out-the-vote efforts late next year. The only real enthusiasm on the left seems to be among the radical left as exemplified by the Squad. This can’t be good news for the Dems ... unless they nominate Ilhan Omar ... or Michelle Obama.

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